Evan Myers

BACKGROUND: Obesity disproportionately affects African American (AA) women and has been shown to increase ovarian cancer risk, with some suggestions that the association may differ by race. METHODS: We evaluated body mass index (BMI) and invasive epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) risk in a pooled study of case-control and nested case-control studies including AA and White women. We evaluated both young adult and recent BMI (within the last 5 years). Associations were estimated using multi-level and multinomial logistic regression models. RESULTS: The sample included 1078 AA cases, 2582 AA controls, 3240 White cases and 9851 White controls. We observed a higher risk for the non-high-grade serous (NHGS) histotypes for AA women with obesity (ORBMI 30+= 1.62, 95% CI: 1.16, 2.26) and White women with obesity (ORBMI 30+= 1.20, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.42) compared to non-obese. Obesity was associated with higher NHGS risk in White women who never used HT (ORBMI 30+= 1.40, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.82). Higher NHGS ovarian cancer risk was observed for AA women who ever used HT (ORBMI 30+= 2.66, 95% CI: 1.15, 6.13), while in White women, there was an inverse association between recent BMI and risk of EOC and HGS in ever-HT users (EOC ORBMI 30+= 0.81, 95% CI: 0.69, 0.95, HGS ORBMI 30+= 0.73, 95% CI: 0.61, 0.88). CONCLUSION: Obesity contributes to NHGS EOC risk in AA and White women, but risk across racial groups studied differs by HT use and histotype.

BACKGROUND: While 60% of older adults have hearing loss (HL), the majority have never had their hearing tested. OBJECTIVE: We sought to estimate long-term clinical and economic effects of alternative adult hearing screening schedules in the USA. DESIGN: Model-based cost-effectiveness analysis simulating Current Detection (CD) and linkage of persons with HL to hearing healthcare, compared to alternative screening schedules varying by age at first screen (45 to 75 years) and screening frequency (every 1 or 5 years). Simulated persons experience yearly age- and sex-specific probabilities of acquiring HL, and subsequent hearing aid uptake (0.5-8%/year) and discontinuation (13-4%). Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated according to hearing level and treatment status. Costs from a health system perspective include screening ($30-120; 2020 USD), HL diagnosis ($300), and hearing aid devices ($3690 year 1, $910/subsequent year). Data sources were published estimates from NHANES and clinical trials of adult hearing screening. PARTICIPANTS: Forty-year-old persons in US primary care across their lifetime. INTERVENTION: Alternative screening schedules that increase baseline probabilities of hearing aid uptake (base-case 1.62-fold; range 1.05-2.25-fold). MAIN MEASURES: Lifetime undiscounted and discounted (3%/year) costs and QALYs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). KEY RESULTS: CD resulted in 1.20 average person-years of hearing aid use compared to 1.27-1.68 with the screening schedules. Lifetime total per-person undiscounted costs were $3300 for CD and ranged from $3630 for 5-yearly screening beginning at age 75 to $6490 for yearly screening beginning at age 45. In cost-effectiveness analysis, yearly screening beginning at ages 75, 65, and 55 years had ICERs of $39,100/QALY, $48,900/QALY, and $96,900/QALY, respectively. Results were most sensitive to variations in hearing aid utility benefit and screening effectiveness. LIMITATION: Input uncertainty around screening effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: We project that yearly hearing screening beginning at age 55+ is cost-effective by US standards.

BACKGROUND: Menstrual cycle characteristics-including age at menarche and cycle length- have been associated with ovarian cancer risk in White women. However, the associations between menstrual cycle characteristics and ovarian cancer risk among Black women have been sparsely studied. METHODS: Using the Ovarian Cancer in Women of African Ancestry (OCWAA) Consortium that includes 1,024 Black and 2,910 White women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) and 2,325 Black and 7,549 White matched controls, we investigated associations between menstrual cycle characteristics (age at menarche, age at menstrual regularity, cycle length, and ever missing three periods) and EOC risk by race and menopausal status. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Black women were more likely to be <11 years at menarche than White women (controls: 9.9% vs. 6.0%). Compared with ≥15 years at menarche, <11 years was associated with increased EOC risk for White (OR = 1.25; 95% CI, 0.99-1.57) but not Black women (OR = 1.10; 95% CI, 0.80-1.55). Among White women only, the association was greater for premenopausal (OR = 2.20; 95% CI, 1.31-3.68) than postmenopausal women (OR = 1.06; 95% CI, 0.82-1.38). Irregular cycle length was inversely associated with risk for White (OR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.62-0.99) but not Black women (OR = 1.06; 95% CI, 0.68-1.66). CONCLUSIONS: Earlier age at menarche and cycle irregularity are associated with increased EOC risk for White but not Black women. IMPACT: Associations between menstrual cycle characteristics and EOC risk were not uniform by race.

IMPORTANCE: Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) after exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is effective in reducing COPD hospitalizations and mortality while improving health-related quality of life, yet use of PR remains low. Estimates of the cost-effectiveness of PR in this setting could inform policies to improve uptake. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of participation in PR after hospitalization for COPD. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This economic evaluation estimated the cost-effectiveness of participation in PR compared with no PR after COPD hospitalization in the US using a societal perspective analysis. A Markov microsimulation model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness in the US health care system with a lifetime horizon, 1-year cycle length, and a discounted rate of 3% per year for both costs and outcomes. Data sources included published literature from October 1, 2001, to April 1, 2021, with the primary source being an analysis of Medicare beneficiaries living with COPD between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2015. The analysis was designed and conducted from October 1, 2019, to December 15, 2021. A base case microsimulation, univariate analyses, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed. INTERVENTIONS: Pulmonary rehabilitation compared with no PR after COPD hospitalization. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Net cost in US dollars, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. RESULTS: Among the hypothetical cohort with a mean age of 76.9 (age range, 60-92) years and 58.6% women, the base case microsimulation from a societal perspective demonstrated that PR resulted in net cost savings per patient of $5721 (95% prediction interval, $3307-$8388) and improved quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) (gain of 0.53 [95% prediction interval, 0.43-0.63] years). The findings of net cost savings and improved QALE with PR did not change in univariate analyses of patient age, the Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease stage, or number of PR sessions. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, PR resulted in net cost savings and improved QALE in every one of 1000 samples and was the dominant strategy in 100% of simulations at any willingness-to-pay threshold. In a 1-way sensitivity analysis of total cost, assuming completion of 36 sessions, a single PR session would remain cost saving to $171 per session and had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $884 per session for $50 000/QALY and $1597 per session for $100 000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this economic evaluation, PR after COPD hospitalization appeared to result in net cost savings along with improvement in QALE. These findings suggest that stakeholders should identify policies to increase access and adherence to PR for patients with COPD.